Every trading day begins with the same question: where is price relative to the box? There are only four possible states — and each one unlocks a different set of strategies. No guessing. No chasing. Just read, then choose.
Trade the edges of structure. PDH/PDL defines the box; middle is noise.
Trade the reaction at the range boundary. First 5M break + retest.
Reversal only after exhaustion + confirmation. 3–5 · 1 · break.
Enter near the source of reversal after defense is proven. Early timing.
Clean momentum expansion. Wide-range candle anchored to the 20 SMA.
The second leg after the first move defines the distance. Math + patience.
Read the market state, match to the playbook. This is the full decision tree — every scenario, every tool.
| IF PRICE IS… | ACTION | USE |
|---|---|---|
| Middle of the box | WAIT | — · No trade. Observation only. |
| At top of box, rejecting | REVERSE | 01 BOX02 FENCE03 PITCH FORK04 UNSHARP |
| At bottom of box, rejecting | REVERSE | 01 BOX02 FENCE03 PITCH FORK04 UNSHARP |
| Grinding into an edge with strength | WATCH | Stop using reversal logic. Prepare for breakout setup. |
| Outside the box, holding there | CONTINUE | 05 POWER BAR06 MEASURED MOVE04 UNSHARP |
| Outside the box, snapping back in | TRAP | 02 FENCE03 PITCH FORK04 UNSHARP |
| Strong momentum candle fires | EXPAND | 05 POWER BAR |
| First move + pause + next leg | PROJECT | 06 MEASURED MOVE |
| Liquidity sweep, then shift | REVERSE | 03 PITCH FORK04 UNSHARP |
| Trending, pulls back cleanly | CONTINUE | 05 POWER BAR06 MEASURED MOVE04 UNSHARP |
| Trending, loses structure badly | REASSESS | Stop assuming continuation. Redraw the box. Reassess the tape. |
The same pattern means different things depending on when it appears. Highest-energy windows get the most tools. Dead tape gets the fewest.
Before every trade, answer three questions in order: